Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 2.182114 2.495400 2.828766 3.208926 3.629430 4.079316 4.596006
2025-01-05 1.684428 2.131975 2.646628 3.277478 4.024895 4.877038 5.916620
2025-01-12 1.294589 1.799534 2.422469 3.235962 4.257718 5.485455 7.057812
2025-01-19 1.059695 1.601684 2.312858 3.293123 4.585532 6.206063 8.363129
2025-01-26 0.880867 1.438997 2.213769 3.334299 4.875321 6.879087 9.633988
2025-02-02 0.747174 1.312360 2.138558 3.386167 5.166867 7.556196 10.933040
2025-02-09 0.625898 1.180930 2.034137 3.376596 5.360378 8.100340 12.071023
2025-02-16 0.518136 1.050591 1.910903 3.319637 5.471452 8.525443 13.055465
2025-02-23 0.448092 0.970422 1.853138 3.350466 5.704486 9.124429 14.298647
2025-03-02 0.376888 0.874810 1.756406 3.306555 5.815133 9.545011 15.298836
2025-03-09 0.330768 0.817540 1.716018 3.346488 6.051939 10.155073 16.589859
2025-03-16 0.284801 0.751779 1.651556 3.337546 6.206199 10.643233 17.715379
2025-03-23 0.260745 0.729262 1.666284 3.470781 6.606769 11.537671 19.503405
2025-03-30 0.235265 0.699167 1.663466 3.573099 6.963482 12.382764 21.255259
2025-04-06 0.199383 0.637416 1.590561 3.540641 7.089159 12.868706 22.475488
2025-04-13 0.177533 0.604971 1.572421 3.607195 7.386964 13.639784 24.163781
2025-04-20 0.156840 0.570732 1.545692 3.653647 7.649974 14.362754 25.799123
2025-04-27 0.139522 0.541512 1.525716 3.710389 7.932540 15.126696 27.522585
2025-05-04 0.120135 0.501322 1.475363 3.700452 8.090875 15.687100 28.934332
2025-05-11 0.100626 0.455054 1.403910 3.639252 8.148008 16.075464 30.075342
2025-05-18 0.088671 0.429567 1.378698 3.672524 8.383492 16.775634 31.747771
2025-05-25 0.074696 0.392636 1.319237 3.625248 8.459341 17.198887 32.969812
2025-06-01 0.066290 0.373130 1.301690 3.668276 8.711827 17.938154 34.739119